GW41d 9h 47m 0s
DEF · Nott'm Forest

Ola Aina

On a pace of 2.0 pts/gameweek, ownership down 0.4pp this week.

All Nott'm Forest players

GW4 projection
1.4
87th of 107 projected defenders
Pace
2.0
points per gameweek
Minutes
67%
reached 60' · 3 of 3 starts
Fixtures
8th
of 20 clubs, next five
Market
−0.4pp
being sold

How he ranks

3 games · 103 defenders · Early sample — these ranks will move a lot.

Points
34th2.5
xGI
80th0.23
xGC
74th1.21
DefCon
37th5.8
BPS
58th14.2
Minutes
41st216
Final price£4.5m
Form (10 GW)2.0
Pts / Match2.0
GW3 Pts1
Total Pts62.5 per 90
Total Bonus00.0 per 90
ICT Index10.8
Selected by %2.8%
xGI0.60.2 per 90
G+A − xGI−0.6small sample
On dutyDefCon bonus0/3 apps

NFO fixtures2026/27

average difficulty 3.1 of 5
GW1LEE (H)
GW2LIV (A)
GW3TOT (H)
GW4AVL (A)
GW5COV (H)
GW6CRY (A)
GW7ARS (H)
GW8IPS (A)
GW9BRE (A)
GW10MCI (H)
GW11BOU (A)
GW12CHE (H)
GW13HUL (A)
GW14BHA (H)
GW15SUN (A)
GW16EVE (H)
GW17MUN (A)
GW18NEW (A)
GW19FUL (H)
GW20HUL (H)
GW21MCI (A)
GW22BOU (H)
GW23CHE (A)
GW24BRE (H)
GW25FUL (A)
GW26MUN (H)
GW27EVE (A)
GW28NEW (H)
GW29TOT (A)
GW30AVL (H)
GW31LEE (A)
GW32LIV (H)
GW33SUN (H)
GW34BHA (A)
GW35CRY (H)
GW36ARS (A)
GW37IPS (H)
GW38COV (A)

Faded fixtures have been played.

Minutes and bonus

Started
3/3
100% of appearances
Reached 60'
67%
2 of 3 games
Bonus won
0
in 0 of 3 games
BPS per game
11.3
0% bonus strike rate

Where the points come from

Appearance556%
Clean sheets444%
Cards-2
Goals conceded-1

56% of his points earned came from appearance. That is a narrow base — if it stops, most of the return stops with it. 9 earned, 6 net

Are the returns real?

Too few minutes this season to say whether his returns are backed by the chances — 216 played, and a gap needs about 900 before it means anything.

Across 4 full seasons on record he has finished above expectation 3 times and below it 1.

Full seasons on record
2025/26 +0.8
2024/25 +0.1
2023/24 +0.7
2020/21 +3.0

Goals and assists minus xGI, per season. Positive means he finished above the chances he had.

Defensive Contribution

He averages 4.7 against a line of 10, so DefCon is not a realistic source of points for him.

0
2
4
6
8
10
12
Cleared
0/3
0% of games
Average
4.7
line is 10
Versus the line
-5.3
short on average
Action mix
50% tackles · 50% CBI

Gameweek log

Opponent
1LEE (H)7350010020240.00.20.20.310£4.5m
2LIV (A)850000205020.00.30.31.810£4.5m
3TOT (H)581000007080.00.00.00.800£4.5m

Early trend

Not the model — that needs a longer form window and opens once he has 8 gameweeks behind him. This is simply what he has actually scored so far.

Pace
2.0
points per gameweek
Appearances
3
this season

Too early for the full model — opens at Gameweek 8.

A score-probability curve is available for the ~40 players in this snapshot; his isn’t yet.

Points by gameweek · with model expectation

024510152025303540GAMEWEEKPOINTS
Points scoredModel expectation, set before kick-off

GW311: model expected 14 pts · he scored 1 (−13 vs expectation)

Market

Price History

£5.7m£4.5m£3.3m5101520253035GAMEWEEK
Selected by %
2.8%−0.4pp this GW
Net transfers, latest GW
−30402

Compare with another defender

Ranks are against the same pool of 103, so the two sets of bars mean the same thing.

Similar players

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