Who makes this, and how it works
The short version
FPL Analytics is a free set of tools for Fantasy Premier League managers: projections from a model we build and test ourselves, a fixture ticker, a player explorer, and somewhere to plan your drafts and chips weeks ahead. It is made by an FPL manager who wanted these things on his own screen before a deadline, and it is free for everyone who plays.
Where the numbers come from
Player, fixture and points data comes from the official Fantasy Premier League API — the same service the game itself runs on, operated by Pulselive on behalf of the Premier League. Expected goals and assists originate with Opta and reach us through that same feed. We refresh it daily through the season, so prices, ownership and injury flags stay current rather than being a weekly snapshot.
The expected-points projections, the squad optimiser and the chip planner are ours. Where our numbers end and the official data begins is marked on every page that mixes them — if a figure is a projection, it says so.
Source: the Premier League — www.premierleague.com. This site is not affiliated with, endorsed by, or connected to the Premier League or Pulselive.
How we use the Premier League’s data, and the lines we hold
We read the Premier League’s terms of use before building this, and we take them seriously. Those terms restrict commercial use of Premier League content and the building of databases from it. Our position is deliberately conservative:
- Free and non-commercial. There is no subscription, no paywall and no advertising on this site. It is not run to make money.
- No bulk redistribution. We do not publish the data as a feed, a download or an API for anyone else to consume. It is shown to managers inside the tools, alongside our own analysis.
- Attribution everywhere it belongs. The Premier League is credited as the source of the underlying data, here and in the FAQ.
- We stop if asked. If the Premier League or Pulselive want anything here changed or taken down, get in touch and we will do it — no argument, no delay.
Nothing here is an attempt to take advantage of a free service or to trade on someone else’s rights. It is a tool for people who play the game, made by someone who plays it.
How the model is tested
A double-Poisson layer rates how many goals each side scores and concedes against a specific opponent, home or away. A per-90 layer turns that into expected points per player. It is validated walk-forward: the model only ever sees gameweeks before the one it is predicting, so nothing is fitted to results it already knows.
Across 31 gameweeks of that testing it ranked players closer to their actual returns than points-per-game did, in every one of them. The known gaps are equally on the record: no injury awareness yet, over-prediction at the very top of the range, and no penalty-taker adjustment. Those are the next things on the list.
What it costs
Nothing. Every chart, every column and every projection is open to anyone who plays. An account exists for one reason — so your saved drafts are still there next week.