Analytics Dashboard
What do I check before the deadline?
This week
GW9 deadline Sat 31 Oct, 11:00 UTC
GW95d 8h 41m 6s2026/27 data as of GW7 · FPL data refreshed daily. GW8 is not finished, so its points can still change.
Flags that changed in the last 3 daysplayers owned by more than 5%
- João PedroFWD · CHE · £7.9m · 73.1% ownedUnspecified injury - 75% chance of playingFit → 75%today
- CalafioriDEF · ARS · £6.0m · 54.2% ownedHip injury - 75% chance of playingFit → 75%today
- Calvert-LewinFWD · LEE · £6.1m · 22.0% ownedFoot injury - 50% chance of playingFit → 50%yesterday
- ThomasDEF · COV · £4.0m · 9.7% ownedUnspecified injury - 75% chance of playingFit → 75%today
- SakaMID · ARS · £9.5m · 9.6% ownedThigh injury - Unknown return date50% → 0%yesterday
- O'ReillyDEF · MCI · £6.3m · 8.7% owned75% → Fityesterday
- N.WilliamsDEF · NFO · £5.0m · 6.2% ownedArm injury - 75% chance of playingFit → 75%yesterday
Price rises and falls: the official Price Changes page ↗ predicts them and refreshes every 15 minutes. We don’t copy it.
Source: FPL status and chance-of-playing flags, kept as a daily snapshot by us since 19 Aug 2026; latest snapshot 25 Oct. Deadline: FPL fixtures calendar.
Who do I captain?
Captain shortlist
Live Season 2026/27Top six available players by forecast points for GW9. Evidence, not a pick: read the fixture, the minutes and the range, then decide.
Source: validated model forecast for GW9, run 25 Oct. Starts and minutes: FPL fixture stats, finished fixtures only, to GW7. 6+ points and top 1 in 10: our simulator. Fixtures: FPL fixture list.
Point Potential
Live Season 2026/27Highest ceiling
Chance of scoring 6+ points, ranked
Chance of hitting any score2026/27
Projections updated 25 Oct · validated model
Is my flagged player going to play?
Will he play?
What each flag has meant this season
Regular starters whose last flag before a deadline was this level, GW2 to GW7: how many then played, and how many started.
- 0% 0 of 55 played (0%), 0 started (0%)
- 25% 2 of 6 played (33%), 2 started (33%)
- 50% 1 of 3 played (33%), 0 started (0%), thin
- 75% 26 of 48 played (54%), 21 started (44%)
| Flagged, owned 2%+ | Flag | News age | At this flag | Last 5 | Price | Owned | Same price, higher xP | FPL's news |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| João PedroFWD · CHE | 75% | 1d | 26 of 48 played (54%)21 started (44%) | 4 of 5 | £7.9m | 73.1% | – | Unspecified injury - 75% chance of playing |
| CalafioriDEF · ARS | 75% | 1d | 26 of 48 played (54%)21 started (44%) | 5 of 5 | £6.0m | 54.2% | – | Hip injury - 75% chance of playing |
| Calvert-LewinFWD · LEE | 50% | 2d | 1 of 3 played (33%)0 started (0%), thin | 5 of 5 | £6.1m | 22.0% | Barry £5.7m, 5.9 xP · Kostoulas £5.8m, 4.3 xP | Foot injury - 50% chance of playing |
| SzoboszlaiMID · LIV | 0% | 8d | 0 of 55 played (0%)0 started (0%) | 4 of 5 | £6.7m | 15.8% | Neto £6.6m, 6.8 xP · Groß £6.2m, 6.4 xP | Hamstring injury - Unknown return date |
| ThomasDEF · COV | 75% | 1d | 26 of 48 played (54%)21 started (44%) | 5 of 5 | £4.0m | 9.7% | Ajer £4.5m, 5.5 xP | Unspecified injury - 75% chance of playing |
| SakaMID · ARS | 0% | 4d | 0 of 55 played (0%)0 started (0%) | 5 of 5 | £9.5m | 9.6% | Palmer £9.8m, 6.8 xP | Thigh injury - Unknown return date |
| SemenyoMID · MCI | 0% | 8d | 0 of 55 played (0%)0 started (0%) | 4 of 5 | £8.2m | 8.3% | Rogers £8.0m, 9.0 xP · Mbeumo £7.9m, 6.7 xP | Knee injury - Unknown return date |
| N.WilliamsDEF · NFO | 75% | 2d | 26 of 48 played (54%)21 started (44%) | 5 of 5 | £5.0m | 6.2% | De Cuyper £5.3m, 6.8 xP · Vuskovic £5.1m, 6.1 xP | Arm injury - 75% chance of playing |
Source: FPL flags as our daily snapshots (since 19 Aug) against FPL fixture stats, finished fixtures only, to GW7. The flag is the last snapshot before each deadline. A regular starter had started at least half his team’s earlier matches. A case is one player in one gameweek. “Thin” is fewer than 5 cases. Alternatives: forecast xP for GW9. Current flags and ownership: FPL.
Whose fixtures are about to turn?
Fixture Swings
Live Season 2026/27Next five: GW9–13 against the last five: GW4–8.
| Club | Swing | Last 5 | Next 5 | Next 5 fixtures | Most owned |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| =1BOUBournemouth | −0.80 | 3.60 | 2.80 | LEEHIPSANFOHFULABHAH | Tavernier £6.3m 14% · Evanilson £6.2m 6% |
| =1TOTSpurs | −0.80 | 3.20 | 2.40 | CRYHLEEAIPSHSUNAFULH | Dubravka £4.0m 16% · Kinsky £4.4m 15% |
| =3IPSIpswich Town | −0.60 | 3.20 | 2.60 | HULABOUHTOTAAVLHCOVA | Diop £3.9m 11% · Davis £4.0m 7% |
| =3SUNSunderland | −0.60 | 3.60 | 3.00 | COVACHEHAVLATOTHLIVA | Brobbey £5.7m 5% · Xhaka £5.4m 3% |
| 5AVLAston Villa | −0.40 | 3.20 | 2.80 | FULHMUNASUNHIPSAEVEH | N.Jackson £6.7m 6% · Cash £4.3m 4% |
| =6COVCoventry City | −0.20 | 2.80 | 2.60 | SUNHEVEACRYHLEEAIPSH | Thomas £4.0m 10% · van Ewijk £3.9m 7% |
| =6EVEEverton | −0.20 | 3.20 | 3.00 | NEWACOVHBREALIVHAVLA | Tarkowski £6.2m 18% · Pickford £5.5m 9% |
| =6LEELeeds | −0.20 | 3.40 | 3.20 | BOUATOTHCHEACOVHMCIA | Calvert-Lewin £6.1m 22% · Bogle £4.7m 11% |
| =9ARSArsenal | 0.00 | 3.20 | 3.20 | LIVAHULHNEWAMCIHBREA | Calafiori £6.0m 54% · Raya £6.2m 46% |
| =9CRYCrystal Palace | 0.00 | 3.00 | 3.00 | TOTALIVHCOVAHULHCHEA | Hughes £4.3m 6% · Mitchell £4.5m 6% |
The full grid, every club and every gameweek to the end of the season: official Fixtures page, FDR tab ↗
Source: FPL fixture list and its difficulty ratings (1 easiest, 5 hardest), read 26 Oct. A rank with = in front (=3) is a tie: those clubs share a swing at two decimals, and club name only sets the order within it.
Is his form real, or luck?
Luck against skill
Live Season 2026/27Small sample. Only 7 gameweeks have been played, and a gap of two goals is one good afternoon. Read these as who has been flattered or unlucky so far, not as who will keep going.
Most above their xG and xA
| Player | Gap | G − xG | A − xA | Price | Owned | Min |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| GroßMID · BHA | +5.7 | +0.83 v 2.2 | +4.86 v 1.2 | £6.2m | 46.6% | 610 |
| KostoulasFWD · BHA | +5.0 | +1.23 v 1.8 | +3.94 v 0.1 | £5.8m | 10.4% | 482 |
| João PedroFWD · CHE | +4.6 | +2.05 v 3.0 | +2.73 v 0.3 | £7.9m | 73.1% | 521 |
| BelloumiMID · HUL | +3.4 | +2.03 v 1.0 | +1.42 v 0.6 | £5.2m | 9.3% | 510 |
| PalmerMID · CHE | +3.4 | +0.52 v 1.5 | +2.94 v 1.1 | £9.8m | 28.2% | 698 |
| GvardiolDEF · MCI | +3.3 | +0.21 v 0.8 | +3.14 v 0.9 | £5.8m | 27.4% | 577 |
Most below their xG and xA
| Player | Gap | G − xG | A − xA | Price | Owned | Min |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| GonzaloFWD · FUL | −3.3 | −2.61 v 3.6 | −0.70 v 0.7 | £6.0m | 6.1% | 668 |
| IwobiMID · FUL | −2.3 | +0.31 v 0.7 | −2.60 v 2.6 | £5.4m | 1.4% | 657 |
| BarryFWD · EVE | −2.3 | −2.13 v 5.1 | −0.20 v 0.2 | £5.7m | 7.6% | 682 |
| ØdegaardMID · ARS | −2.2 | −0.22 v 2.2 | −2.00 v 2.0 | £6.8m | 18.2% | 646 |
| RayanMID · BOU | −2.1 | −1.50 v 1.5 | −0.60 v 0.6 | £6.3m | 1.5% | 612 |
| DelapFWD · NFO | −2.0 | −1.51 v 2.5 | −0.50 v 0.5 | £5.5m | 1.9% | 528 |
Source: FPL season totals for 2026/27: goals, assists, xG and xA, 7 gameweeks played. Players with 189+ minutes, goalkeepers left out. Expected figures are FPL’s own. Green is above expectation, red below.
No 2026/27 data yet. The over/underperformer chart fills once FPL confirms GW8 is finished. See 2025/26 →
Which differentials are worth the risk?
Differentials
Live Season 2026/27The differential zone shows the players with the highest points with the lowest ownership.
Tap or hover a dot to name the player.
In the zone, most points firstunder 15% owned, top-quartile points
| Player | Points | Owned | Price | Next fixture |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| VuskovicDEF · BHA | 51 | 6.4% | £5.1m | |
| BogleDEF · LEE | 45 | 10.9% | £4.7m | |
| WhiteDEF · ARS | 42 | 4.4% | £5.4m | |
| TavernierMID · BOU | 42 | 14.4% | £6.3m | |
| IsakFWD · LIV | 42 | 14.1% | £9.0m | |
| KostoulasFWD · BHA | 41 | 10.4% | £5.8m | |
| RiceMID · ARS | 39 | 12.3% | £7.4m | |
| BelloumiMID · HUL | 39 | 9.3% | £5.2m | |
| TzolakisGKP · HUL | 39 | 14.2% | £4.7m | |
| Van HeckeDEF · TOT | 38 | 6.9% | £4.9m |
Source: FPL season totals for 2026/27, to GW7; ownership from FPL, refreshed daily. Players with 1,500+ minutes, scaled to the gameweeks played.
Who is on penalties and set pieces?
Set pieces
Live Season 2026/27Who gained or lost a dutylast 14 days, first choice only
- HendersonMID · CHE · £4.9m · 1.5%Gained corners3rd → 1st · today
- JamesDEF · CHE · £5.2m · 3.7%Lost corners1st → 3rd · today
- NúñezMID · IPS · £4.8m · 0.1%Lost direct free kicks1st → 4th · yesterday
- EncisoMID · IPS · £5.5m · 0.8%Gained direct free kicks– → 1st · yesterday
- RudoniMID · COV · £4.9m · 0.6%Gained penalties– → 1st · 8 days ago
- WrightFWD · COV · £5.3m · 0.1%Lost penalties1st → 2nd · 8 days ago
Today’s first-choice takersgoals and xG this season
| Player | Pens | Free kicks | Corners | Goals | xG | Price | Owned |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SakaMID · ARS | 1st | 2nd | 2nd | 3 | 3.6 | £9.5m | 9.6% |
| RiceMID · ARS | – | 1st | 1st | 0 | 0.3 | £7.4m | 12.3% |
| BuendíaMID · AVL | 1st | 1st | 2nd | 1 | 1.6 | £5.9m | 1.3% |
| McGinnMID · AVL | – | – | 1st | 1 | 1.6 | £5.4m | 2.9% |
| Kroupi.JrMID · BOU | 1st | – | – | – | – | £7.3m | 0.2% |
| TavernierMID · BOU | 3rd | 1st | 1st | 4 | 2.9 | £6.3m | 14.4% |
| ThiagoFWD · BRE | 1st | – | – | 1 | 3.7 | £7.8m | 8.8% |
| JensenMID · BRE | 3rd | 2nd | 1st | 0 | 0.1 | £5.4m | 0.1% |
| Lewis-PotterMID · BRE | – | 1st | 4th | 2 | 1.4 | £5.5m | 1.9% |
| GroßMID · BHA | 1st | 1st | 1st | 3 | 2.2 | £6.2m | 46.6% |
| PalmerMID · CHE | 1st | 3rd | – | 2 | 1.5 | £9.8m | 28.2% |
| HendersonMID · CHE | – | 2nd | 1st | 2 | 0.5 | £4.9m | 1.5% |
Source: FPL set-piece order, kept as a daily snapshot by us since 19 Aug 2026; latest 25 Oct. Today’s order: FPL, refreshed daily. Goals include penalties and free kicks, and FPL does not split them out.
When do I play each chip?
Chip Targets
No blank or double gameweek in the 2026/27 fixture list. Chip timing has nothing to rank until one is scheduled, and this section opens when it is.
Source: FPL fixture list, 380 fixtures over 38 gameweeks, read 26 Oct. The Premier League can still reschedule.