GW41d 8h 57m 38s
MID · Arsenal

Declan Rice

On a pace of 4.3 pts/gameweek, ownership down 2.2pp this week, one of the five kindest runs ahead.

All Arsenal players

GW4 projection
4.1
22nd of 124 projected midfielders
Pace
4.3
points per gameweek
Minutes
100%
reached 60' · 3 of 3 starts
Fixtures
4th
of 20 clubs, next five
Market
−2.2pp
being sold

How he ranks

3 games · 114 midfielders · Early sample — these ranks will move a lot.

Points
65th4.85
xGI
36th0.13
DefCon
62nd9
BPS
54th19
Minutes
62nd241

xGI is what drags him — 36th of 114, against 65th for points.

Final price£7.4m
Form (10 GW)4.3
Pts / Match4.3
GW3 Pts5
Total Pts134.9 per 90
Total Bonus00.0 per 90
ICT Index12.3
Selected by %13.5%
xGI0.40.1 per 90
G+A − xGI+0.6small sample
On dutyFree kicks#1Corners#1DefCon bonus1/3 apps

ARS fixtures2026/27

average difficulty 2.9 of 5
GW1COV (H)
GW2AVL (A)
GW3CHE (H)
GW4SUN (A)
GW5BHA (A)
GW6LEE (H)
GW7NFO (A)
GW8EVE (H)
GW9LIV (A)
GW10HUL (H)
GW11NEW (A)
GW12MCI (H)
GW13BRE (A)
GW14TOT (A)
GW15BOU (H)
GW16MUN (H)
GW17CRY (A)
GW18FUL (A)
GW19IPS (H)
GW20BRE (H)
GW21HUL (A)
GW22NEW (H)
GW23MCI (A)
GW24LIV (H)
GW25IPS (A)
GW26FUL (H)
GW27MUN (A)
GW28CRY (H)
GW29CHE (A)
GW30SUN (H)
GW31COV (A)
GW32AVL (H)
GW33BOU (A)
GW34TOT (H)
GW35LEE (A)
GW36NFO (H)
GW37EVE (A)
GW38BHA (H)

Faded fixtures have been played.

Minutes and bonus

Started
3/3
100% of appearances
Reached 60'
100%
3 of 3 games
Bonus won
0
in 0 of 3 games
BPS per game
17
0% bonus strike rate

Where the points come from

Appearance646%
Assists323%
Clean sheets215%
DefCon215%

46% of his points earned came from appearance. No single source dominates, though bonus tends to follow whichever one leads. 13 earned

Are the returns real?

Too few minutes this season to say whether his returns are backed by the chances — 241 played, and a gap needs about 900 before it means anything.

Across 9 full seasons on record he has finished above expectation 8 times and below it 1.

Full seasons on record
2025/26 +2.5
2024/25 +1.9
2023/24 +7.4
2022/23 +2.8
2021/22 +5.0
2020/21 +3.0
2019/20 +6.0
2018/19 +2.0
2017/18 0.0

Goals and assists minus xGI, per season. Positive means he finished above the chances he had.

Defensive Contribution

He averages 8 against a line of 12 — close enough that a busy game gets him there, but not reliably.

0
2
4
6
8
10
12
14
Cleared
1/3
33% of games
Average
8
line is 12
Versus the line
-4
short on average
Action mix
13% tackles · 42% CBI · 46% recoveries

Gameweek log

Opponent
1COV (H)6730010060100.10.10.10.100£7.5m
2AVL (A)84500100120190.00.10.10.300£7.5m
3CHE (H)9050101060220.00.10.10.400£7.5m

Early trend

Not the model — that needs a longer form window and opens once he has 8 gameweeks behind him. This is simply what he has actually scored so far.

Pace
4.3
points per gameweek
Appearances
3
this season

Too early for the full model — opens at Gameweek 8.

Chance of hitting any score

0%25%50%75%100%chance of scoring at least this many13579111315points scored (at least)a returning weekRice

Points by gameweek · with model expectation

024510152025303540GAMEWEEKPOINTS
Points scoredModel expectation, set before kick-off

GW311: model expected 39 pts · he scored 5 (−34 vs expectation)

Market

Price History

£8.7m£7.5m£6.3m5101520253035GAMEWEEK
Selected by %
13.5%−2.2pp this GW
Net transfers, latest GW
−227106

Compare with another midfielder

Ranks are against the same pool of 114, so the two sets of bars mean the same thing.

Similar players

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