GW41d 10h 27m 10s
DEF · Arsenal

Riccardo Calafiori

On a pace of 7.3 pts/gameweek, ownership up 3.7pp this week, one of the five kindest runs ahead.

All Arsenal players

GW4 projection
4.7
4th of 107 projected defenders
Pace
7.3
points per gameweek
Minutes
100%
reached 60' · 3 of 3 starts
Fixtures
4th
of 20 clubs, next five
Market
+3.7pp
being bought

How he ranks

3 games · 103 defenders · Early sample — these ranks will move a lot.

Points
97th8.39
xGI
99th0.43
xGC
100th0.25
DefCon
5th3.4
BPS
89th23.3
Minutes
44th236

DefCon is what drags him — 5th of 103, against 97th for points.

Final price£5.7m
Form (10 GW)7.3
Pts / Match7.3
GW3 Pts2
Total Pts228.4 per 90
Total Bonus20.8 per 90
ICT Index11.8
Selected by %48.0%
xGI1.10.4 per 90
G+A − xGI+0.9small sample
On dutyDefCon bonus0/3 apps

ARS fixtures2026/27

average difficulty 2.9 of 5
GW1COV (H)
GW2AVL (A)
GW3CHE (H)
GW4SUN (A)
GW5BHA (A)
GW6LEE (H)
GW7NFO (A)
GW8EVE (H)
GW9LIV (A)
GW10HUL (H)
GW11NEW (A)
GW12MCI (H)
GW13BRE (A)
GW14TOT (A)
GW15BOU (H)
GW16MUN (H)
GW17CRY (A)
GW18FUL (A)
GW19IPS (H)
GW20BRE (H)
GW21HUL (A)
GW22NEW (H)
GW23MCI (A)
GW24LIV (H)
GW25IPS (A)
GW26FUL (H)
GW27MUN (A)
GW28CRY (H)
GW29CHE (A)
GW30SUN (H)
GW31COV (A)
GW32AVL (H)
GW33BOU (A)
GW34TOT (H)
GW35LEE (A)
GW36NFO (H)
GW37EVE (A)
GW38BHA (H)

Faded fixtures have been played.

Minutes and bonus

Started
3/3
100% of appearances
Reached 60'
100%
3 of 3 games
Bonus won
2
in 1 of 3 games
BPS per game
20.3
33% bonus strike rate

Where the points come from

Clean sheets836%
Appearance627%
Assists627%
Bonus29%

36% of his points earned came from clean sheets. No single source dominates, though bonus tends to follow whichever one leads. 22 earned

Are the returns real?

Too few minutes this season to say whether his returns are backed by the chances — 236 played, and a gap needs about 900 before it means anything.

Across 2 full seasons on record he has finished above expectation 1 time and below it 1.

Full seasons on record
2025/26 1.1
2024/25 +1.4

Goals and assists minus xGI, per season. Positive means he finished above the chances he had.

Defensive Contribution

He averages 3 against a line of 10, so DefCon is not a realistic source of points for him.

0
2
4
6
8
10
12
Cleared
0/3
0% of games
Average
3
line is 10
Versus the line
-7
short on average
Action mix
33% tackles · 67% CBI

Gameweek log

Opponent
1COV (H)8090110050310.00.10.10.100£5.5m
2AVL (A)90110110032300.10.50.60.300£5.6m
3CHE (H)662000101000.40.00.40.300£5.7m

Early trend

Not the model — that needs a longer form window and opens once he has 8 gameweeks behind him. This is simply what he has actually scored so far.

Pace
7.3
points per gameweek
Appearances
3
this season

Too early for the full model — opens at Gameweek 8.

A score-probability curve is available for the ~40 players in this snapshot; his isn’t yet.

Points by gameweek · with model expectation

0246810510152025303540GAMEWEEKPOINTS
Points scoredModel expectation, set before kick-off

GW311: model expected 43 pts · he scored 2 (−41 vs expectation)

Market

Price History

£5.7m£5.6m£5.5m5101520253035GAMEWEEK
Selected by %
48.0%+3.7pp this GW
Net transfers, latest GW
+396923

Compare with another defender

Ranks are against the same pool of 103, so the two sets of bars mean the same thing.

Similar players

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