Dominic Calvert-Lewin
On a pace of 3.3 pts/gameweek, ownership down 2.6pp this week, one of the five hardest runs ahead.
How he ranks
3 games · 24 forwards · Early sample — these ranks will move a lot.
BPS is what drags him — 26th of 24, against 52nd for points.
LEE fixtures2026/27
average difficulty 3.1 of 5Faded fixtures have been played.
Minutes and bonus
Where the points come from
50% of his points earned came from appearance. No single source dominates, though bonus tends to follow whichever one leads. 12 earned, 10 net
Are the returns real?
Too few minutes this season to say whether his returns are backed by the chances — 252 played, and a gap needs about 900 before it means anything.
Across 9 full seasons on record he has finished above expectation 5 times and below it 4.
Goals and assists minus xGI, per season. Positive means he finished above the chances he had.
Defensive Contribution
He averages 3 against a line of 12, so DefCon is not a realistic source of points for him.
Gameweek log
| Opponent | ||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | NFO (A) | 90 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -2 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.7 | 1 | 0 | £6.0m |
| 2 | BRE (H) | 90 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 31 | 0.9 | 0.0 | 0.9 | 1.7 | 0 | 0 | £6.0m |
| 3 | BHA (A) | 72 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0.6 | 0.1 | 0.6 | 0.9 | 1 | 0 | £6.0m |
Early trend
Not the model — that needs a longer form window and opens once he has 8 gameweeks behind him. This is simply what he has actually scored so far.
Too early for the full model — opens at Gameweek 8.
A score-probability curve is available for the ~40 players in this snapshot; his isn’t yet.
Points by gameweek · with model expectation
GW3–11: model expected 40 pts · he scored 1 (−39 vs expectation)
Market
Price History
Compare with another forward
Ranks are against the same pool of 24, so the two sets of bars mean the same thing.
Similar players
Same position, closest price.