Analytics Dashboard
What do I check before the deadline?
This week
GW9 deadline Sat 31 Oct, 11:00 UTC
GW95d 15h 13m 17s2026/27 data as of GW7 · FPL data refreshed daily. GW8 is not finished, so its points can still change.
Flags that changed in the last 3 daysplayers owned by more than 5%
- João PedroFWD · CHE · £7.9m · 73.1% ownedUnspecified injury - 75% chance of playingFit → 75%today
- CalafioriDEF · ARS · £6.0m · 54.2% ownedHip injury - 75% chance of playingFit → 75%today
- Calvert-LewinFWD · LEE · £6.1m · 22.0% ownedFoot injury - 50% chance of playingFit → 50%yesterday
- ThomasDEF · COV · £4.0m · 9.7% ownedUnspecified injury - 75% chance of playingFit → 75%today
- SakaMID · ARS · £9.5m · 9.6% ownedThigh injury - Unknown return date50% → 0%yesterday
- O'ReillyDEF · MCI · £6.3m · 8.7% owned75% → Fityesterday
- N.WilliamsDEF · NFO · £5.0m · 6.2% ownedArm injury - 75% chance of playingFit → 75%yesterday
Price rises and falls: the official Price Changes page ↗ predicts them and refreshes every 15 minutes. We don’t copy it.
Source: FPL status and chance-of-playing flags, kept as a daily snapshot by us since 19 Aug 2026; latest snapshot 25 Oct. Deadline: FPL fixtures calendar.
Who do I captain?
Captain shortlist
Live Season 2026/27Top six available players by forecast points for GW9. Evidence, not a pick: read the fixture, the minutes and the range, then decide.
Source: validated model forecast for GW9, run 25 Oct. Starts and minutes: FPL fixture stats, finished fixtures only, to GW7. 6+ points and top 1 in 10: our simulator. Fixtures: FPL fixture list.
Point Potential
Last Season 2025/26Worked example: gameweek 30Highest ceiling
Chance of scoring 6+ points, ranked
Chance of hitting any score2025/26
Is my flagged player going to play?
Will he play?
What each flag has meant this season
Regular starters whose last flag before a deadline was this level, GW2 to GW7: how many then played, and how many started.
- 0% 0 of 55 played (0%), 0 started (0%)
- 25% 2 of 6 played (33%), 2 started (33%)
- 50% 1 of 3 played (33%), 0 started (0%), thin
- 75% 26 of 48 played (54%), 21 started (44%)
| Flagged, owned 2%+ | Flag | News age | At this flag | Last 5 | Price | Owned | Same price, higher xP | FPL's news |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| João PedroFWD · CHE | 75% | 1d | 26 of 48 played (54%)21 started (44%) | 4 of 5 | £7.9m | 73.1% | – | Unspecified injury - 75% chance of playing |
| CalafioriDEF · ARS | 75% | 1d | 26 of 48 played (54%)21 started (44%) | 5 of 5 | £6.0m | 54.2% | – | Hip injury - 75% chance of playing |
| Calvert-LewinFWD · LEE | 50% | 2d | 1 of 3 played (33%)0 started (0%), thin | 5 of 5 | £6.1m | 22.0% | Barry £5.7m, 5.9 xP · Kostoulas £5.8m, 4.3 xP | Foot injury - 50% chance of playing |
| SzoboszlaiMID · LIV | 0% | 8d | 0 of 55 played (0%)0 started (0%) | 4 of 5 | £6.7m | 15.8% | Neto £6.6m, 6.8 xP · Groß £6.2m, 6.4 xP | Hamstring injury - Unknown return date |
| ThomasDEF · COV | 75% | 1d | 26 of 48 played (54%)21 started (44%) | 5 of 5 | £4.0m | 9.7% | Ajer £4.5m, 5.5 xP | Unspecified injury - 75% chance of playing |
| SakaMID · ARS | 0% | 3d | 0 of 55 played (0%)0 started (0%) | 5 of 5 | £9.5m | 9.6% | Palmer £9.8m, 6.8 xP | Thigh injury - Unknown return date |
| SemenyoMID · MCI | 0% | 8d | 0 of 55 played (0%)0 started (0%) | 4 of 5 | £8.2m | 8.3% | Rogers £8.0m, 9.0 xP · Mbeumo £7.9m, 6.7 xP | Knee injury - Unknown return date |
| N.WilliamsDEF · NFO | 75% | 1d | 26 of 48 played (54%)21 started (44%) | 5 of 5 | £5.0m | 6.2% | De Cuyper £5.3m, 6.8 xP · Vuskovic £5.1m, 6.1 xP | Arm injury - 75% chance of playing |
Source: FPL flags as our daily snapshots (since 19 Aug) against FPL fixture stats, finished fixtures only, to GW7. The flag is the last snapshot before each deadline. A regular starter had started at least half his team’s earlier matches. A case is one player in one gameweek. “Thin” is fewer than 5 cases. Alternatives: forecast xP for GW9. Current flags and ownership: FPL.
Whose fixtures are about to turn?
Fixture Swings
Live Season 2026/27Next five: GW9–13 against the last five: GW4–8.
| Club | Swing | Last 5 | Next 5 | Next 5 fixtures | Most owned |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| =1BOUBournemouth | −0.80 | 3.60 | 2.80 | LEEHIPSANFOHFULABHAH | Tavernier £6.3m 14% · Evanilson £6.2m 6% |
| =1TOTSpurs | −0.80 | 3.20 | 2.40 | CRYHLEEAIPSHSUNAFULH | Dubravka £4.0m 16% · Kinsky £4.4m 15% |
| =3IPSIpswich Town | −0.60 | 3.20 | 2.60 | HULABOUHTOTAAVLHCOVA | Diop £3.9m 11% · Davis £4.0m 7% |
| =3SUNSunderland | −0.60 | 3.60 | 3.00 | COVACHEHAVLATOTHLIVA | Brobbey £5.7m 5% · Xhaka £5.4m 3% |
| 5AVLAston Villa | −0.40 | 3.20 | 2.80 | FULHMUNASUNHIPSAEVEH | N.Jackson £6.7m 6% · Cash £4.3m 4% |
| =6COVCoventry City | −0.20 | 2.80 | 2.60 | SUNHEVEACRYHLEEAIPSH | Thomas £4.0m 10% · van Ewijk £3.9m 7% |
| =6EVEEverton | −0.20 | 3.20 | 3.00 | NEWACOVHBREALIVHAVLA | Tarkowski £6.2m 18% · Pickford £5.5m 9% |
| =6LEELeeds | −0.20 | 3.40 | 3.20 | BOUATOTHCHEACOVHMCIA | Calvert-Lewin £6.1m 22% · Bogle £4.7m 11% |
| =9ARSArsenal | 0.00 | 3.20 | 3.20 | LIVAHULHNEWAMCIHBREA | Calafiori £6.0m 54% · Raya £6.2m 46% |
| =9CRYCrystal Palace | 0.00 | 3.00 | 3.00 | TOTALIVHCOVAHULHCHEA | Hughes £4.3m 6% · Mitchell £4.5m 6% |
The full grid, every club and every gameweek to the end of the season: official Fixtures page, FDR tab ↗
Source: FPL fixture list and its difficulty ratings (1 easiest, 5 hardest), read 25 Oct. A rank with = in front (=3) is a tie: those clubs share a swing at two decimals, and club name only sets the order within it.
Is his form real, or luck?
Luck against skill
Last Season 2025/26Updates with season startMost above their xG and xA
| Player | Gap | G − xG | A − xA | Price | Owned | Min |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| B.FernandesMID · MUN | +9.9 | −1.89 v 10.8 | +11.724 v 12.3 | £10.4m | 25.8% | 3065 |
| BowenFWD · WHU | +9.6 | +1.89 v 7.2 | +7.813 v 5.2 | £7.8m | 17.5% | 3406 |
| SemenyoMID · MCI | +8.8 | +5.917 v 11.1 | +2.96 v 3.1 | £8.0m | 8.3% | 3200 |
| WilsonMID · FUL | +8.4 | +4.110 v 5.9 | +4.29 v 4.8 | £5.8m | 1.2% | 2674 |
| João PedroFWD · CHE | +7.1 | +0.115 v 14.9 | +7.09 v 2.0 | £7.4m | 73.1% | 2658 |
| RogersMID · AVL | +6.8 | +3.210 v 6.8 | +3.78 v 4.3 | £7.3m | 49.9% | 3280 |
Most below their xG and xA
| Player | Gap | G − xG | A − xA | Price | Owned | Min |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| YeremyMID · CRY | −6.7 | −2.52 v 4.5 | −4.12 v 6.1 | £5.8m | 0.3% | 2074 |
| BrooksMID · BOU | −5.2 | −4.81 v 5.8 | −0.43 v 3.4 | £5.0m | 0.0% | 1188 |
| GudmundssonDEF · LEE | −4.0 | −1.10 v 1.1 | −2.90 v 2.9 | £3.8m | 0.1% | 2637 |
| MatetaFWD · CRY | −3.7 | −2.412 v 14.4 | −1.30 v 1.3 | £7.6m | 1.2% | 2210 |
| EnzoMID · CHE | −3.5 | −1.310 v 11.3 | −2.35 v 7.3 | £6.5m | 3.9% | 3114 |
| JensenMID · BRE | −3.3 | +0.83 v 2.2 | −4.12 v 6.1 | £4.9m | 0.1% | 2239 |
Source: FPL season totals for 2025/26: goals, assists, xG and xA, 38 gameweeks played. Players with 900+ minutes, goalkeepers left out. Expected figures are FPL’s own. Green is above expectation, red below.
Points against the model
Last Season 2025/26Updates with season startMeasured against the model
Which differentials are worth the risk?
Differentials
Last Season 2025/26Updates with season startThe differential zone shows the players with the highest points with the lowest ownership.
Tap or hover a dot to name the player.
In the zone, most points firstunder 15% owned, top-quartile points
| Player | Points | Owned | Price |
|---|---|---|---|
| SemenyoMID · MCI | 202 | 8.3% | £8.0m |
| Gibbs-WhiteMID · NFO | 188 | 12.2% | £7.6m |
| RiceMID · ARS | 184 | 12.3% | £7.2m |
| ThiagoFWD · BRE | 181 | 8.8% | £7.2m |
| AndersonMID · NFO | 180 | 3.8% | £5.7m |
| SenesiDEF · BOU | 175 | 3.1% | £5.2m |
| WilsonMID · FUL | 168 | 1.2% | £5.8m |
| WatkinsFWD · AVL | 167 | 2.3% | £8.7m |
| TruffertDEF · BOU | 165 | 2.7% | £4.8m |
| CasemiroMID · MUN | 165 | 3.8% | £5.8m |
Source: FPL season totals for 2025/26; ownership live 2026/27. Players with 1,500+ minutes, scaled to the gameweeks played.
Who is on penalties and set pieces?
Set pieces
Live Season 2026/27Who gained or lost a dutylast 14 days, first choice only
- HendersonMID · CHE · £4.9m · 1.5%Gained corners3rd → 1st · today
- JamesDEF · CHE · £5.2m · 3.7%Lost corners1st → 3rd · today
- NúñezMID · IPS · £4.8m · 0.1%Lost direct free kicks1st → 4th · yesterday
- EncisoMID · IPS · £5.5m · 0.8%Gained direct free kicks– → 1st · yesterday
- RudoniMID · COV · £4.9m · 0.6%Gained penalties– → 1st · 8 days ago
- WrightFWD · COV · £5.3m · 0.1%Lost penalties1st → 2nd · 8 days ago
Today’s first-choice takersgoals and xG this season
| Player | Pens | Free kicks | Corners | Goals | xG | Price | Owned |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SakaMID · ARS | 1st | 2nd | 2nd | 3 | 3.6 | £9.5m | 9.6% |
| RiceMID · ARS | – | 1st | 1st | 0 | 0.3 | £7.4m | 12.3% |
| BuendíaMID · AVL | 1st | 1st | 2nd | 1 | 1.6 | £5.9m | 1.3% |
| McGinnMID · AVL | – | – | 1st | 1 | 1.6 | £5.4m | 2.9% |
| Kroupi.JrMID · BOU | 1st | – | – | – | – | £7.3m | 0.2% |
| TavernierMID · BOU | 3rd | 1st | 1st | 4 | 2.9 | £6.3m | 14.4% |
| ThiagoFWD · BRE | 1st | – | – | 1 | 3.7 | £7.8m | 8.8% |
| JensenMID · BRE | 3rd | 2nd | 1st | 0 | 0.1 | £5.4m | 0.1% |
| Lewis-PotterMID · BRE | – | 1st | 4th | 2 | 1.4 | £5.5m | 1.9% |
| GroßMID · BHA | 1st | 1st | 1st | 3 | 2.2 | £6.2m | 46.6% |
| PalmerMID · CHE | 1st | 3rd | – | 2 | 1.5 | £9.8m | 28.2% |
| HendersonMID · CHE | – | 2nd | 1st | 2 | 0.5 | £4.9m | 1.5% |
Source: FPL set-piece order, kept as a daily snapshot by us since 19 Aug 2026; latest 25 Oct. Today’s order: FPL, refreshed daily. Goals include penalties and free kicks, and FPL does not split them out.
When do I play each chip?
Chip Targets
Last Season 2025/26Updates with season startPlan your chip weeks in the Squad Planner →
The season by gameweek2025/26
Triple Captain candidates — GW362025/26
Blank and double gameweeks2025/26
| GW | Teams playing | Doubling | Blanking | Mean proj pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| GW26 | 20 | 2 | – | 3.5 |
| GW31 | 16 | – | 4 | 3.1 |
| GW33 | 20 | 6 | – | 4.1 |
| GW34 | 14 | – | 6 | 3.0 |
| GW36 | 20 | 2 | – | 3.5 |