Jacob Murphy
On a pace of 0.7 pts/gameweek, 2357.0 more transfers out than in this week, one of the five kindest runs ahead.
NEW fixtures2026/27
average difficulty 3.1 of 5Faded fixtures have been played.
Minutes and bonus
Where the points come from
100% of his points earned came from appearance. That is a narrow base — if it stops, most of the return stops with it. 3 earned, 2 net
Are the returns real?
Too few minutes this season to say whether his returns are backed by the chances — 35 played, and a gap needs about 900 before it means anything.
Across 7 full seasons on record he has finished above expectation 5 times and below it 2.
Goals and assists minus xGI, per season. Positive means he finished above the chances he had.
Defensive Contribution
He averages 2 against a line of 12, so DefCon is not a realistic source of points for him.
Gameweek log
| Opponent | ||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | LIV (H) | 14 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 1 | 0 | £6.0m |
| 2 | TOT (A) | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.4 | 0 | 0 | £6.0m |
| 3 | BOU (H) | 13 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | £5.9m |
Early trend
Not the model — that needs a longer form window and opens once he has 8 gameweeks behind him. This is simply what he has actually scored so far.
Too early for the full model — opens at Gameweek 8.
A score-probability curve is available for the ~40 players in this snapshot; his isn’t yet.
Points by gameweek · with model expectation
GW3–11: model expected 14 pts · he scored 1 (−13 vs expectation)
Market
Price History
Similar players
Same position, closest price.