Igor Thiago Nascimento Rodrigues
On a pace of 1.3 pts/gameweek, ownership down 2.0pp this week, one of the five hardest runs ahead.
How he ranks
3 games · 24 forwards · Early sample — these ranks will move a lot.
BRE fixtures2026/27
average difficulty 3.1 of 5Faded fixtures have been played.
Minutes and bonus
Where the points come from
100% of his points earned came from appearance. That is a narrow base — if it stops, most of the return stops with it. 6 earned, 4 net
Are the returns real?
Too few minutes this season to say whether his returns are backed by the chances — 262 played, and a gap needs about 900 before it means anything.
Across 1 full season on record he has finished above expectation every time.
Goals and assists minus xGI, per season. Positive means he finished above the chances he had.
Defensive Contribution
He averages 5 against a line of 12, so DefCon is not a realistic source of points for him.
Gameweek log
| Opponent | ||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | TOT (H) | 82 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0 | -3 | 1.0 | 0.1 | 1.1 | 0.5 | 0 | 0 | £8.0m |
| 2 | LEE (A) | 90 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 0.8 | 0.0 | 0.8 | 1.5 | 0 | 0 | £8.0m |
| 3 | SUN (H) | 90 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 0 | 9 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 1.7 | 0 | 0 | £8.0m |
Early trend
Not the model — that needs a longer form window and opens once he has 8 gameweeks behind him. This is simply what he has actually scored so far.
Too early for the full model — opens at Gameweek 8.
Chance of hitting any score
Points by gameweek · with model expectation
GW3–11: model expected 48 pts · he scored 2 (−46 vs expectation)
Market
Price History
Compare with another forward
Ranks are against the same pool of 24, so the two sets of bars mean the same thing.
Similar players
Same position, closest price.