Nathan Collins
On a pace of 3.3 pts/gameweek, ownership up 0.6pp this week, one of the five hardest runs ahead.
Calf injury - 25% chance of playing
How he ranks
3 games · 103 defenders · Early sample — these ranks will move a lot.
BRE fixtures2026/27
average difficulty 3.1 of 5Faded fixtures have been played.
Minutes and bonus
Where the points come from
45% of his points earned came from appearance. No single source dominates, though bonus tends to follow whichever one leads. 11 earned, 10 net
Are the returns real?
Too few minutes this season to say whether his returns are backed by the chances — 196 played, and a gap needs about 900 before it means anything.
Across 5 full seasons on record he has finished above expectation 2 times and below it 3.
Goals and assists minus xGI, per season. Positive means he finished above the chances he had.
Defensive Contribution
He averages 5.7 against a line of 10, so DefCon is not a realistic source of points for him.
Gameweek log
| Opponent | ||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | TOT (H) | 90 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 21 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.4 | 0.6 | 0 | 0 | £5.5m |
| 2 | LEE (A) | 90 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 13 | 0 | 14 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 1.5 | 1 | 0 | £5.5m |
| 3 | SUN (H) | 16 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0 | 0 | £5.5m |
Early trend
Not the model — that needs a longer form window and opens once he has 8 gameweeks behind him. This is simply what he has actually scored so far.
Too early for the full model — opens at Gameweek 8.
A score-probability curve is available for the ~40 players in this snapshot; his isn’t yet.
Points by gameweek · with model expectation
GW3–10: model expected 34 pts · he scored 1 (−33 vs expectation)
Market
Price History
Compare with another defender
Ranks are against the same pool of 103, so the two sets of bars mean the same thing.
Similar players
Same position, closest price.