GW41d 8h 54m 46s
DEF · Nott'm Forest

Murillo Costa dos Santos

On a pace of 4.3 pts/gameweek, ownership down 0.1pp this week.

All Nott'm Forest players

GW4 projection
2.1
76th of 107 projected defenders
Pace
4.3
points per gameweek
Minutes
100%
reached 60' · 3 of 3 starts
Fixtures
8th
of 20 clubs, next five
Market
−0.1pp
being sold

How he ranks

3 games · 103 defenders · Early sample — these ranks will move a lot.

Points
69th4.35
xGI
79th0.21
xGC
75th1.1
DefCon
80th10
BPS
56th14.1
Minutes
60th269
Final price£5.5m
Form (10 GW)4.3
Pts / Match4.3
GW3 Pts8
Total Pts134.3 per 90
Total Bonus00.0 per 90
ICT Index10.7
Selected by %1.6%
xGI0.60.2 per 90
G+A − xGI−0.6small sample
On dutyFree kicks#3DefCon bonus2/3 apps

NFO fixtures2026/27

average difficulty 3.1 of 5
GW1LEE (H)
GW2LIV (A)
GW3TOT (H)
GW4AVL (A)
GW5COV (H)
GW6CRY (A)
GW7ARS (H)
GW8IPS (A)
GW9BRE (A)
GW10MCI (H)
GW11BOU (A)
GW12CHE (H)
GW13HUL (A)
GW14BHA (H)
GW15SUN (A)
GW16EVE (H)
GW17MUN (A)
GW18NEW (A)
GW19FUL (H)
GW20HUL (H)
GW21MCI (A)
GW22BOU (H)
GW23CHE (A)
GW24BRE (H)
GW25FUL (A)
GW26MUN (H)
GW27EVE (A)
GW28NEW (H)
GW29TOT (A)
GW30AVL (H)
GW31LEE (A)
GW32LIV (H)
GW33SUN (H)
GW34BHA (A)
GW35CRY (H)
GW36ARS (A)
GW37IPS (H)
GW38COV (A)

Faded fixtures have been played.

Minutes and bonus

Started
3/3
100% of appearances
Reached 60'
100%
3 of 3 games
Bonus won
0
in 0 of 3 games
BPS per game
14
0% bonus strike rate

Where the points come from

Appearance643%
Clean sheets429%
DefCon429%
Goals conceded-1

43% of his points earned came from appearance. No single source dominates, though bonus tends to follow whichever one leads. 14 earned, 13 net

Are the returns real?

Too few minutes this season to say whether his returns are backed by the chances — 269 played, and a gap needs about 900 before it means anything.

Across 3 full seasons on record he has finished below expectation every time.

Full seasons on record
2025/26 0.2
2024/25 0.6
2023/24 0.4

Goals and assists minus xGI, per season. Positive means he finished above the chances he had.

Defensive Contribution

He averages 10 against a line of 10 — clearing it is his normal week.

0
2
4
6
8
10
12
14
Cleared
2/3
67% of games
Average
10
line is 10
Versus the line
+0
clear on average
Action mix
20% tackles · 80% CBI

Gameweek log

Opponent
1LEE (H)90400010140150.00.30.30.500£5.5m
2LIV (A)901000206020.20.00.21.800£5.5m
3TOT (H)89800100100250.20.00.21.100£5.5m

Early trend

Not the model — that needs a longer form window and opens once he has 8 gameweeks behind him. This is simply what he has actually scored so far.

Pace
4.3
points per gameweek
Appearances
3
this season

Too early for the full model — opens at Gameweek 8.

A score-probability curve is available for the ~40 players in this snapshot; his isn’t yet.

Points by gameweek · with model expectation

02468510152025303540GAMEWEEKPOINTS
Points scoredModel expectation, set before kick-off

GW311: model expected 20 pts · he scored 8 (−12 vs expectation)

Market

Price History

£6.7m£5.5m£4.3m5101520253035GAMEWEEK
Selected by %
1.6%−0.1pp this GW
Net transfers, latest GW
−10492

Compare with another defender

Ranks are against the same pool of 103, so the two sets of bars mean the same thing.

Similar players

Same position, closest price.