GW41d 10h 26m 11s
DEF · Leeds

James Justin

On a pace of 5.3 pts/gameweek, ownership up 0.2pp this week, one of the five hardest runs ahead.

All Leeds players

GW4 projection
4.0
17th of 107 projected defenders
Pace
5.3
points per gameweek
Minutes
100%
reached 60' · 3 of 3 starts
Fixtures
18th
of 20 clubs, next five
Market
+0.2pp
being bought

How he ranks

3 games · 103 defenders · Early sample — these ranks will move a lot.

Points
78th5.33
xGI
39th0.06
xGC
61st1.51
DefCon
77th10
BPS
68th16.3
Minutes
62nd270

xGI is what drags him — 39th of 103, against 78th for points.

Final price£4.5m
Form (10 GW)5.3
Pts / Match5.3
GW3 Pts4
Total Pts165.3 per 90
Total Bonus20.7 per 90
ICT Index11.3
Selected by %1.5%
xGI0.20.1 per 90
G+A − xGI−0.2small sample
On dutyDefCon bonus2/3 apps

LEE fixtures2026/27

average difficulty 3.1 of 5
GW1NFO (A)
GW2BRE (H)
GW3BHA (A)
GW4NEW (H)
GW5CRY (H)
GW6ARS (A)
GW7MUN (H)
GW8SUN (A)
GW9BOU (A)
GW10TOT (H)
GW11CHE (A)
GW12COV (H)
GW13MCI (A)
GW14IPS (H)
GW15LIV (A)
GW16FUL (H)
GW17AVL (A)
GW18HUL (A)
GW19EVE (H)
GW20MCI (H)
GW21TOT (A)
GW22CHE (H)
GW23COV (A)
GW24BOU (H)
GW25EVE (A)
GW26AVL (H)
GW27FUL (A)
GW28HUL (H)
GW29BHA (H)
GW30NEW (A)
GW31NFO (H)
GW32BRE (A)
GW33LIV (H)
GW34IPS (A)
GW35ARS (H)
GW36MUN (A)
GW37SUN (H)
GW38CRY (A)

Faded fixtures have been played.

Minutes and bonus

Started
3/3
100% of appearances
Reached 60'
100%
3 of 3 games
Bonus won
2
in 1 of 3 games
BPS per game
16.3
33% bonus strike rate

Where the points come from

Appearance638%
Clean sheets425%
DefCon425%
Bonus213%

38% of his points earned came from appearance. No single source dominates, though bonus tends to follow whichever one leads. 16 earned

Are the returns real?

Too few minutes this season to say whether his returns are backed by the chances — 270 played, and a gap needs about 900 before it means anything.

Across 6 full seasons on record he has finished above expectation 4 times and below it 2.

Full seasons on record
2025/26 +0.0
2024/25 +1.7
2022/23 +1.2
2021/22 0.0
2020/21 +4.0
2019/20 +1.0

Goals and assists minus xGI, per season. Positive means he finished above the chances he had.

Defensive Contribution

He averages 10 against a line of 10 — clearing it is his normal week.

0
2
4
6
8
10
12
Cleared
2/3
67% of games
Average
10
line is 10
Versus the line
+0
clear on average
Action mix
37% tackles · 63% CBI

Gameweek log

Opponent
1NFO (A)901000100122280.00.00.00.700£4.5m
2BRE (H)9020001080120.00.00.01.700£4.5m
3BHA (A)9040001010090.10.00.12.200£4.5m

Early trend

Not the model — that needs a longer form window and opens once he has 8 gameweeks behind him. This is simply what he has actually scored so far.

Pace
5.3
points per gameweek
Appearances
3
this season

Too early for the full model — opens at Gameweek 8.

A score-probability curve is available for the ~40 players in this snapshot; his isn’t yet.

Points by gameweek · with model expectation

0246810510152025303540GAMEWEEKPOINTS
Points scoredModel expectation, set before kick-off

GW311: model expected 32 pts · he scored 4 (−28 vs expectation)

Market

Price History

£5.7m£4.5m£3.3m5101520253035GAMEWEEK
Selected by %
1.5%+0.2pp this GW
Net transfers, latest GW
+14204

Compare with another defender

Ranks are against the same pool of 103, so the two sets of bars mean the same thing.

Similar players

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