GW41d 9h 47m 8s
FWD · Nott'm Forest

Igor Jesus Maciel da Cruz

On a pace of 1.3 pts/gameweek, ownership down 0.6pp this week.

All Nott'm Forest players

GW4 projection
2.9
10th of 31 projected forwards
Pace
1.3
points per gameweek
Minutes
67%
reached 60' · 2 of 3 starts
Fixtures
8th
of 20 clubs, next five
Market
−0.6pp
being sold

How he ranks

3 games · 24 forwards · Early sample — these ranks will move a lot.

Points
4th1.71
xGI
43rd0.44
DefCon
43rd3.8
BPS
4th6.4
Minutes
48th211
Final price£5.9m
Form (10 GW)1.3
Pts / Match1.3
GW3 Pts1
Total Pts41.7 per 90
Total Bonus00.0 per 90
ICT Index10.5
Selected by %2.7%
xGI1.00.4 per 90
G+A − xGI−1.0small sample
On dutyPenalties#4DefCon bonus0/3 apps

NFO fixtures2026/27

average difficulty 3.1 of 5
GW1LEE (H)
GW2LIV (A)
GW3TOT (H)
GW4AVL (A)
GW5COV (H)
GW6CRY (A)
GW7ARS (H)
GW8IPS (A)
GW9BRE (A)
GW10MCI (H)
GW11BOU (A)
GW12CHE (H)
GW13HUL (A)
GW14BHA (H)
GW15SUN (A)
GW16EVE (H)
GW17MUN (A)
GW18NEW (A)
GW19FUL (H)
GW20HUL (H)
GW21MCI (A)
GW22BOU (H)
GW23CHE (A)
GW24BRE (H)
GW25FUL (A)
GW26MUN (H)
GW27EVE (A)
GW28NEW (H)
GW29TOT (A)
GW30AVL (H)
GW31LEE (A)
GW32LIV (H)
GW33SUN (H)
GW34BHA (A)
GW35CRY (H)
GW36ARS (A)
GW37IPS (H)
GW38COV (A)

Faded fixtures have been played.

Minutes and bonus

Started
2/3
67% of appearances
Reached 60'
67%
2 of 3 games
Bonus won
0
in 0 of 3 games
BPS per game
5
0% bonus strike rate

Where the points come from

Appearance5100%
Cards-1

100% of his points earned came from appearance. That is a narrow base — if it stops, most of the return stops with it. 5 earned, 4 net

Are the returns real?

Too few minutes this season to say whether his returns are backed by the chances — 211 played, and a gap needs about 900 before it means anything.

Across 1 full season on record he has finished above expectation every time.

Full seasons on record
2025/26 +4.3

Goals and assists minus xGI, per season. Positive means he finished above the chances he had.

Defensive Contribution

He averages 3 against a line of 12, so DefCon is not a realistic source of points for him.

0
2
4
6
8
10
12
14
Cleared
0/3
0% of games
Average
3
line is 12
Versus the line
-9
short on average
Action mix
22% tackles · 56% CBI · 22% recoveries

Gameweek log

Opponent
1LEE (H)902000103080.20.00.20.500£6.0m
2LIV (A)901000205040.70.00.81.810£6.0m
3TOT (H)311000001030.00.00.00.300£5.9m

Early trend

Not the model — that needs a longer form window and opens once he has 8 gameweeks behind him. This is simply what he has actually scored so far.

Pace
1.3
points per gameweek
Appearances
3
this season

Too early for the full model — opens at Gameweek 8.

A score-probability curve is available for the ~40 players in this snapshot; his isn’t yet.

Points by gameweek · with model expectation

024510152025303540GAMEWEEKPOINTS
Points scoredModel expectation, set before kick-off

GW311: model expected 27 pts · he scored 1 (−26 vs expectation)

Market

Price History

£6.0m£6.0m£5.9m5101520253035GAMEWEEK
Selected by %
2.7%−0.6pp this GW
Net transfers, latest GW
−56312

Compare with another forward

Ranks are against the same pool of 24, so the two sets of bars mean the same thing.

Similar players

Same position, closest price.