Nico O'Reilly
On a pace of 1.3 pts/gameweek, ownership down 1.7pp this week.
Back injury - 75% chance of playing
How he ranks
2 games · 103 defenders · Two games. Treat these ranks as noise, not form.
DefCon is what drags him — 0th of 103, against 33rd for points.
MCI fixtures2026/27
average difficulty 3.0 of 5Faded fixtures have been played.
Minutes and bonus
Where the points come from
100% of his points earned came from appearance. That is a narrow base — if it stops, most of the return stops with it. 4 earned
Are the returns real?
Too few minutes this season to say whether his returns are backed by the chances — 150 played, and a gap needs about 900 before it means anything.
Across 1 full season on record he has finished above expectation every time.
Goals and assists minus xGI, per season. Positive means he finished above the chances he had.
Defensive Contribution
He averages 1.5 against a line of 10, so DefCon is not a realistic source of points for him.
Gameweek log
| Opponent | ||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | BOU (H) | 62 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 0.1 | 0.4 | 0.5 | 0.6 | 0 | 0 | £6.5m |
| 2 | CRY (A) | 88 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 11 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.7 | 0 | 0 | £6.5m |
| 3 | COV (H) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | £6.5m |
Early trend
Not the model — that needs a longer form window and opens once he has 8 gameweeks behind him. This is simply what he has actually scored so far.
Too early for the full model — opens at Gameweek 8.
A score-probability curve is available for the ~40 players in this snapshot; his isn’t yet.
Points by gameweek · with model expectation
GW3–10: model expected 31 pts · he scored 0 (−31 vs expectation)
Market
Price History
Compare with another defender
Ranks are against the same pool of 103, so the two sets of bars mean the same thing.
Similar players
Same position, closest price.