GW41d 10h 21m 53s
MID · Chelsea

Morgan Rogers

On a pace of 6.3 pts/gameweek, ownership down 1.8pp this week, one of the five kindest runs ahead.

All Chelsea players

GW4 projection
4.3
15th of 124 projected midfielders
Pace
6.3
points per gameweek
Minutes
100%
reached 60' · 3 of 3 starts
Fixtures
4th
of 20 clubs, next five
Market
−1.8pp
being sold

How he ranks

3 games · 114 midfielders · Early sample — these ranks will move a lot.

Points
88th6.65
xGI
96th0.81
DefCon
25th6
BPS
91st30.5
Minutes
73rd257

DefCon is what drags him — 25th of 114, against 88th for points.

Final price£7.6m
Form (10 GW)6.3
Pts / Match6.3
GW3 Pts6
Total Pts196.7 per 90
Total Bonus10.4 per 90
ICT Index28.7
Selected by %29.5%
xGI2.30.8 per 90
G+A − xGI+0.7small sample
On dutyCorners#4DefCon bonus0/3 apps

CHE fixtures2026/27

average difficulty 3.0 of 5
GW1FUL (A)
GW2BHA (H)
GW3ARS (A)
GW4HUL (H)
GW5BRE (A)
GW6BOU (H)
GW7EVE (A)
GW8TOT (H)
GW9MUN (H)
GW10SUN (A)
GW11LEE (H)
GW12NFO (A)
GW13CRY (H)
GW14LIV (H)
GW15MCI (A)
GW16AVL (H)
GW17COV (A)
GW18IPS (A)
GW19NEW (H)
GW20CRY (A)
GW21SUN (H)
GW22LEE (A)
GW23NFO (H)
GW24MUN (A)
GW25NEW (A)
GW26IPS (H)
GW27AVL (A)
GW28COV (H)
GW29ARS (H)
GW30HUL (A)
GW31FUL (H)
GW32BHA (A)
GW33MCI (H)
GW34LIV (A)
GW35TOT (A)
GW36EVE (H)
GW37BOU (A)
GW38BRE (H)

Faded fixtures have been played.

Minutes and bonus

Started
3/3
100% of appearances
Reached 60'
100%
3 of 3 games
Bonus won
1
in 1 of 3 games
BPS per game
29
33% bonus strike rate

Where the points come from

Goals1050%
Appearance630%
Assists315%
Bonus15%
Cards-1

50% of his points earned came from goals. No single source dominates, though bonus tends to follow whichever one leads. 20 earned, 19 net

Are the returns real?

Too few minutes this season to say whether his returns are backed by the chances — 257 played, and a gap needs about 900 before it means anything.

Across 2 full seasons on record he has finished above expectation every time.

Full seasons on record
2025/26 +6.8
2024/25 +7.3

Goals and assists minus xGI, per season. Positive means he finished above the chances he had.

Defensive Contribution

He averages 5.7 against a line of 12, so DefCon is not a realistic source of points for him.

0
2
4
6
8
10
12
14
Cleared
0/3
0% of games
Average
5.7
line is 12
Versus the line
-6.3
short on average
Action mix
18% tackles · 6% CBI · 76% recoveries

Gameweek log

Opponent
1FUL (A)8181002071371.00.11.11.200£7.5m
2BHA (H)9050103050280.11.01.11.400£7.5m
3ARS (A)8661002050220.10.00.12.010£7.5m

Early trend

Not the model — that needs a longer form window and opens once he has 8 gameweeks behind him. This is simply what he has actually scored so far.

Pace
6.3
points per gameweek
Appearances
3
this season

Too early for the full model — opens at Gameweek 8.

A score-probability curve is available for the ~40 players in this snapshot; his isn’t yet.

Points by gameweek · with model expectation

02468510152025303540GAMEWEEKPOINTS
Points scoredModel expectation, set before kick-off

GW311: model expected 33 pts · he scored 6 (−27 vs expectation)

Market

Price History

£8.7m£7.5m£6.3m5101520253035GAMEWEEK
Selected by %
29.5%−1.8pp this GW
Net transfers, latest GW
−110434

Compare with another midfielder

Ranks are against the same pool of 114, so the two sets of bars mean the same thing.

Similar players

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